Mark STREETING

Just as the combustion engine disrupted horse powered mobility over a hundred years ago, autonomous vehicles (AV) are now emerging as
the next major evolution in surface passenger transport. AVs are quickly moving from a visionary concept to a commercial reality. Google
has lead the disruption with its “moon-shot” driverless car program with others like Tesla and Apple also launching their own programs. This
paper delves into, several uncertain areas regarding AV and facilitates the discussion on how it will shape the future of passenger transport
in our major cities.

Biographical note
Mark is a Partner in L.E.K.’s Australian practice specialising in transport. He has around 30 years of professional experience, having previously worked with the Bureau of Transport Economics, Commonwealth Department of Transport, London Underground, Travers Morgan, Booz Allen Hamilton and PricewaterhouseCoopers. His fields of expertise in the transport industry include strategy and policy development, demand analysis and forecasting, financial and economic appraisal, regulatory reform and procurement, pricing strategies and development and strategic marketing and communications. Mark has advised public and private sectors clients in Australia, New Zealand, North America, Europe, Asia and the Middle East on all forms of passenger and freight transport. Mark is currently a Board Member of the UITP Australia New Zealand.

Presentation: Autonomous vehicles, the sharing economy and the urban mobility transition
Traditional rules that apply to current vehicles will become outdated therefore governments will need to develop new standards based on perspectives like safety, cost of ownership and influences from legacy industries. The impact on the road network is still highly speculative. On one side, the AV car-share model could decrease car ownership and remove congestion but conversely a significant uptake of AVs could fill in the gap, either maintaining or exacerbating current congestion levels. Specific scenario modelling will be leveraged to identify the range of potential outcomes. All public transport modes will be affected with low density bus routes probably being the most exposed to the disrupters. Additionally, previously “unserviceable” public transport areas are likely to be the biggest winners with greater connectivity.